Question

Will the Opportunity Mars rover awaken after the dust storm passes?

Resolved :No65%

21 comments21

Total Forecasters103

Community Prediction65% (62% - 76%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 65%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

-55.2

Community Peer Score

19.4

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Authors:

chipman

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

NASA Snaps Dusty Mars InSight Lander ‘Farewell’ Image From Orbit

Forbes•Dec 19, 2024

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Scientific American•Dec 23, 2024

Parker Solar Probe’s Christmas Eve milestone will be the closest flyby of the sun

CNN•Dec 24, 2024

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Will Elon Musk's Tesla Roadster be visited by a spacecraft before 2050?

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89%

Will Apollo 10's Lunar Module be recovered by 2050?

13%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

chipman

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

NASA Snaps Dusty Mars InSight Lander ‘Farewell’ Image From Orbit

Forbes•Dec 19, 2024

NASA’s Parker Solar Probe Attempts a Record-Breaking Christmas Eve Flyby

Scientific American•Dec 23, 2024

Parker Solar Probe’s Christmas Eve milestone will be the closest flyby of the sun

CNN•Dec 24, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Elon Musk's Tesla Roadster be visited by a spacecraft before 2050?

Will Parker Solar Probe survive its 24 loops around the sun while getting just a few million miles away from the surface of our star?

89%

Will Apollo 10's Lunar Module be recovered by 2050?

13%

Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

MetaculusM

Will the Opportunity Mars rover awaken after the dust storm passes?

Make a Prediction

Will Elon Musk's Tesla Roadster be visited by a spacecraft before 2050?

Will Parker Solar Probe survive its 24 loops around the sun while getting just a few million miles away from the surface of our star?

Will Apollo 10's Lunar Module be recovered by 2050?

Comments

Will Elon Musk's Tesla Roadster be visited by a spacecraft before 2050?

Will Parker Solar Probe survive its 24 loops around the sun while getting just a few million miles away from the surface of our star?

Will Apollo 10's Lunar Module be recovered by 2050?

Will Elon Musk's Tesla Roadster be visited by a spacecraft before 2050?

Will Parker Solar Probe survive its 24 loops around the sun while getting just a few million miles away from the surface of our star?

Will Apollo 10's Lunar Module be recovered by 2050?

Will Elon Musk's Tesla Roadster be visited by a spacecraft before 2050?

Will Parker Solar Probe survive its 24 loops around the sun while getting just a few million miles away from the surface of our star?

Will Apollo 10's Lunar Module be recovered by 2050?