Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will Russia or Russia-based actors cut an undersea internet cable before 2023?

Resolved :No1%
2
1
Total Forecasters57
Community Prediction1% (1% - 2.5%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
90.3
Community Peer Score
11.2
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
AlyssaStevens
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
White Hat Cyber
Politics
Computing and Math
Technology
2022 Leaderboard
Ireland
Submarine communications cable
Russian Armed Forces
Rostelecom
Ukraine
Crimea
Russia

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