Question

When will a Turkish mission make a hard landing on the Moon?

Total Forecasters21

Community Prediction2030-01-01 (2028-12-31 - 2030-01-01)

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CDF

weight:

	lower 25%	median	upper 75%	>2030-01-01
community	Dec 2028	>Jan 2030	>Jan 2030	53.5%
My Prediction	—	—	—	—

Quartiles	community	My Prediction
lower 25%	Dec 2028	—
median	>Jan 2030	—
upper 75%	>Jan 2030	—
Upper bound
>2030-01-01	53.5%	—

Authors:

casens

Opened:

Mar 21, 2022

Closes:

Aug 10, 2026

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2030

Autocrat Public Figures Series

European Space Agency

Blue Ghost moon landing: Firefly’s lander is set for touchdown attempt

CNN•Mar 2, 2025

Here’s a look at moon landing hits and misses

Associated Press•Mar 2, 2025

Intuitive Machines sends another probe to the moon, but can't stick the landing

•Mar 6, 2025

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When will a Turkish mission make a soft landing on the Moon?

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