Question

When will a Turkish mission make a soft landing on the Moon?

Total Forecasters21

Community Prediction2040-01-01 (2036-11-10 - 2040-01-01)

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weight:

	lower 25%	median	upper 75%	>2040-01-01
community	Nov 2036	>Jan 2040	>Jan 2040	51.1%
My Prediction	—	—	—	—

Quartiles	community	My Prediction
lower 25%	Nov 2036	—
median	>Jan 2040	—
upper 75%	>Jan 2040	—
Upper bound
>2040-01-01	51.1%	—

Authors:

casens

Opened:

Mar 21, 2022

Closes:

Jan 25, 2032

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2040

Autocrat Public Figures Series

European Space Agency

Blue Ghost moon landing: Firefly’s lander is set for touchdown attempt

CNN•Mar 2, 2025

Here’s a look at moon landing hits and misses

Associated Press•Mar 2, 2025

A new company just stamped its name on the moon

Business Insider•Mar 2, 2025

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