📖 The ACX 2025 Prediction Contest Is Open!

The Astral Codex Ten Prediction Contest is back with an expanded $10,000 prize pool! Test your forecasting skills across geopolitics, technology, economics, and more with questions curated by Scott Alexander. Make your predictions by January 31 to compete.

🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Group

How many metric tons of ≥51% cultured meat costing <$10/kg will be sold from 2020 to 2050?

6
2
17 forecasters

Make a Prediction

5-year Period Ending on25thmedian75th

PDF

CDF

weight:
My Prediction
community
<1
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>50M
...
...
...
...
...
34.3%
<1
2.827
18.87
0.2%

Forecast Timeline

Authors:
NeilDullaghan
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Cultured Meat Tournament
Animal Welfare Series
Economy & Business
2021-2025 Leaderboard
Singapore
The Good Food Institute
Food and Agriculture Organization
US Department of Agriculture
National Chicken Council
Quorn
Boston Consulting Group
A.T. Kearney
McKinsey & Company

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