Question

When will an AI win a Nobel prize for the first time?

14 comments14

Total Forecasters67

Community Prediction2057-12-10 (2033-01-07 - 2196-04-21)

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>2199-12-30

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2033-01-07 18:26

2057-12-10 11:09

2196-04-21 12:11

24.3%

Authors:

marius.hobbhahn

Opened:

Mar 26, 2022

Closes:

Jan 1, 2100

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2200

AGI Outcomes

Artificial Intelligence

Nobel Prize

To Interact With the Real World, AI Will Gain Physical Intelligence

Wired•Jan 26, 2025

OpenAI's o3 model aced a test of AI reasoning – but it's still not AGI

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