Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will the Social Democrats hold a position in government after the next Danish general election?

Resolved :Yes85%
5
16
Total Forecasters32
Community Prediction85% (81% - 90%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 85%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score
26.1
Community Peer Score
0.8
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
emilowk
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Politics
2022-2023 Leaderboard
Social Democrats (Denmark)
Mette Frederiksen
Danish Social Liberal Party
Socialist People's Party (Denmark)
Red–Green Alliance (Denmark)
Social Democratic Party (Faroe Islands)
Venstre (Denmark)
Liberal Alliance (Denmark)
Conservative People's Party (Denmark)

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