🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

When will US crude oil production reach 13 million barrels per day?

Resolved :Oct 6, 20232023-12-30
3
7
Total Forecasters13
Community Prediction2023-12-30 (2023-09-06 - 2024-10-29)

Make a Prediction

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CDF

My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>2033-01-01
...
...
...
...
2023-09-06 00:29
2023-12-30 10:31
2024-10-29 13:13
0.6%

What was the final result?Oct 6, 2023

Community Baseline Score
21.9
Community Peer Score
1.7
Authors:
Cato
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Environment & Climate
Economy & Business
United States
Energy Information Administration

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