Question

Will humanity use a gene drive to wipe at least one species of mosquito off the face of the Earth by 2100?

17 comments17

Total Forecasters156

Community Prediction69% (50% - 79%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 69%

This question is closed for predictions, and is waiting to be resolved

Authors:

chipman

Opened:

Jul 9, 2018

Closed:

Jan 1, 2020

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2101

Playing God Series

Health & Pandemics

Environment & Climate

Natural Sciences

Technology

2018-2019 Leaderboard

Alex Marlow: Bill Gates-Funded Researchers Turned Mosquitoes into Flying Syringes to Deliver Vaccines

Breitbart•Jan 26, 2025

Researchers Funded by Bill Gates Turn Mosquitoes into ‘Flying Syringes’ to Deliver Vaccines

Breitbart•Jan 27, 2025

'Flying Vaccinators': Researchers at Bill Gates-Backed Center Inject Test Subjects With Malaria Parasite

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Will global malaria mortality rates be reduced by 90% when compared with 2015 rates, by 2030?

30%

Will Guinea Worm be eradicated by the end of 2030?

52%

By the year 2100, will any jurisdiction enforce requirements for all births to be genetically engineered?

51%

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