Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

When will the next (post-Breyer) US Supreme Court vacancy arise?

16
13
Total Forecasters28
Community Prediction2025-10-15 (2025-03-24 - 2026-09-17)

Make a Prediction

weight:
My Prediction
community
<2022-03-20
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>2030-01-01
...
...
...
...
...
0.4%
2025-03-24 03:50
2025-10-15 11:13
2026-09-17 15:55
1.9%
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Jgalt
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Law
Politics
Supreme Court of the US
John Roberts
Article Three of the United States Constitution
Marbury v. Madison
Judiciary Act of 1869

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