Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will a technical problem be identified as the cause of the crash of China Eastern Airlines Flight 5735?

Resolved :Ambiguous15%
11
45
Total Forecasters70
Community Prediction15% (10% - 19%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 15%

Did this actually happen?Ambiguous

Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
uganda
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Economy & Business
2022 Leaderboard
National Transportation Safety Board
Suicide by pilot
China

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