Question

How much greenhouse gas will Brazil emit in 2030, in CO2e tonnes?

Total Forecasters4

Community Prediction1.14B (569M - 1.94B)

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CDF

weight:

	<300M	lower 25%	median	upper 75%	>3B
community	2.7%	568.5M	1.141B	1.94B	9.3%
My Prediction	—	—	—	—	—

Lower bound	community	My Prediction
<300M	2.7%	—
Quartiles
lower 25%	568.5M	—
median	1.141B	—
upper 75%	1.94B	—
Upper bound
>3B	9.3%	—

Authors:

casens

Opened:

Mar 28, 2022

Closes:

Jan 1, 2031

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2033

Autocrat Public Figures Series

Environment & Climate

Amazon rainforest

Brazil

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IPCC Fifth Assessment Report

Brazil’s Lula backs oil exploration in the Amazon ahead of hosting UN climate talks

Associated Press•Feb 13, 2025

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Time•Feb 16, 2025

Brazil asks UN to ditch proposed levy on global shipping

Guardian•Feb 18, 2025

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When will Brazil reach net zero carbon emissions?

2059-11-29

Will Brazil reach net zero deforestation before 2031?

15%

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4.99B

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