MetaculusM

Question

Will the Federal Reserve ever adopt a policy regime that implements nominal GDP targeting or nominal wage targeting?

8

Total Forecasters25

Community Prediction48.2% (35% - 56%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 48.2%

Authors:

Opened:

Apr 4, 2022

Closes:

Jan 1, 2050

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2050

Economy & Business

Nominal income target

Federal Reserve

The Fed will likely stand pat after flurry of rate cuts. After that? It's anybody's guess.

USA Today•Jan 27, 2025

The Fed Is Unlikely To Cut Interest Rates In January Due To Inflation

Forbes•Jan 28, 2025

What to Watch at the Federal Reserve’s First Meeting of 2025

New York Times•Jan 29, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Monetary Policy in 2050

Federal Reserve Adoption of NGDP Targeting → US unemployment after next market crash

Will the Federal Reserve set a target policy rate that is negative by 2050?

Comments

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Authors:

Opened:

Apr 4, 2022

Closes:

Jan 1, 2050

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2050

Economy & Business

Nominal income target

Federal Reserve

The Fed will likely stand pat after flurry of rate cuts. After that? It's anybody's guess.

USA Today•Jan 27, 2025

The Fed Is Unlikely To Cut Interest Rates In January Due To Inflation

Forbes•Jan 28, 2025

What to Watch at the Federal Reserve’s First Meeting of 2025

New York Times•Jan 29, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Monetary Policy in 2050

Federal Reserve Adoption of NGDP Targeting → US unemployment after next market crash

Will the Federal Reserve set a target policy rate that is negative by 2050?