Question

After 2022, when is the next time the US policy rate will reach the zero lower bound?

8 comments8

Total Forecasters20

Community Prediction2028-04-13 (2026-01-03 - 2032-01-19)

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community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2049-12-28

...

2026-01-03 03:26

2028-04-13 14:45

2032-01-19 21:59

4.0%

Authors:

basil.halperin

Opened:

Apr 4, 2022

Closes:

Jan 1, 2050

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2050

Here’s The Fed’s 2025 Meeting Schedule And What To Expect For Interest Rates

Forbes•Jan 26, 2025

The Fed Is Unlikely To Cut Interest Rates In January Due To Inflation

Forbes•Jan 28, 2025

What to Watch at the Federal Reserve’s First Meeting of 2025

New York Times•Jan 29, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Comments

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Authors:

basil.halperin

Opened:

Apr 4, 2022

Closes:

Jan 1, 2050

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2050

Here’s The Fed’s 2025 Meeting Schedule And What To Expect For Interest Rates

Forbes•Jan 26, 2025

The Fed Is Unlikely To Cut Interest Rates In January Due To Inflation

Forbes•Jan 28, 2025

What to Watch at the Federal Reserve’s First Meeting of 2025

New York Times•Jan 29, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

After 2022, how many times will the US policy rate reach the zero lower bound?

3.09

Will the Federal Reserve set a target policy rate that is negative by 2050?

58.1%

Will the US Enter a Deflationary period before 2030?

23%