Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will there be an X-Class solar flare before October 1, 2018?

Resolved :No10%
1
2
Total Forecasters75
Community Prediction10% (5% - 25%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 10%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
71.2
Community Peer Score
7.4
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
AdamK
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Space
Natural Sciences
2018 Leaderboard
Astronomy
Energy
Sun
Solar physics
Physics
Magnetic energy
Astrophysics
NASA
Electrical engineering

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