Question

Will Mariupol be under Russian control on June 1, 2022?

Resolved:Yes
21
64
Community Prediction60%70%80%90%100%Apr 01Apr 05Apr 09Apr 13Apr 17Apr 21Apr 25Apr 29May 03May 07May 11May 15May 19May 23May 27now
Total Forecasters490
Community Prediction
99%
(99% - 99%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 99%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score
88.5
Community Peer Score
15.4
Authors:
AlyssaStevens
Opened:Mar 31, 2022
Closes:May 31, 2022
Resolves:Jun 1, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 31, 2022
Ukraine Conflict
Verity
Geopolitics
2022 Leaderboard
Donetsk Oblast
Russian Armed Forces
Mariupol

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