Question

When will a human cure for herpes simplex for oral region be available for purchase?

Total Forecasters8

Community Prediction2032-11-13 (2029-07-21 - 2036-11-04)

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CDF

weight:

	lower 25%	median	upper 75%	>2049-12-30
community	Jul 2029	Nov 2032	Nov 2036	3.7%
My Prediction	—	—	—	—

Quartiles	community	My Prediction
lower 25%	Jul 2029	—
median	Nov 2032	—
upper 75%	Nov 2036	—
Upper bound
>2049-12-30	3.7%	—

Authors:

emilowk

Opened:

Apr 4, 2022

Closes:

Jan 1, 2050

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2050

Camp Hill virus: What are the risks of a first-of-its-kind outbreak in America?

Independent•Feb 13, 2025

This drug is the 'breakthrough of the year' — and it could mean the end of the HIV epidemic

NPR Online News•Feb 16, 2025

A Norovirus Vaccine Is Closer Than Ever Before

Scientific American•Feb 17, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

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Authors:

emilowk

Opened:

Apr 4, 2022

Closes:

Jan 1, 2050

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2050

Camp Hill virus: What are the risks of a first-of-its-kind outbreak in America?

Independent•Feb 13, 2025

This drug is the 'breakthrough of the year' — and it could mean the end of the HIV epidemic

NPR Online News•Feb 16, 2025

A Norovirus Vaccine Is Closer Than Ever Before

Scientific American•Feb 17, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

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