Question

Will there be a city on Earth with a population of over 100 million by 2100?

22 comments22

Total Forecasters212

Community Prediction55% (34% - 72%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 55%

Learn more about scores here.

Authors:

AdamK

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Elon Predicts One Million Humans Will Be Augmented By Neuralink By 2030

Forbes•Dec 17, 2024

Immigration drives US population growth to highest rate in 23 years as residents pass 340 million

Associated Press•Dec 19, 2024

Nebraska's biggest gain in three decades boosts population over 2 million mark

•Dec 20, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will any modern artificial island reach a population of 1,000,000 or more inhabitants before 2100?

50%

Will one government govern 80% of Earth's population and economy by 2100?

Will human population size recover to 5 billion by 3000CE if, by 2100, the population falls below 400 million without extinction occurring within 20 years?

65.9%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

AdamK

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Elon Predicts One Million Humans Will Be Augmented By Neuralink By 2030

Forbes•Dec 17, 2024

Immigration drives US population growth to highest rate in 23 years as residents pass 340 million

Associated Press•Dec 19, 2024

Nebraska's biggest gain in three decades boosts population over 2 million mark

•Dec 20, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will any modern artificial island reach a population of 1,000,000 or more inhabitants before 2100?

50%

Will one government govern 80% of Earth's population and economy by 2100?

Will human population size recover to 5 billion by 3000CE if, by 2100, the population falls below 400 million without extinction occurring within 20 years?

65.9%