Question

Will there be a city on Earth with a population of over 100 million by 2100?

22 comments22

Total Forecasters212

Community Prediction55% (34% - 70%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 55%

Authors:

AdamK

Opened:

Jul 11, 2018

Closes:

Dec 31, 2099

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2100

Warning Issued on 'Population Collapse' by 2100

Newsweek•Jan 21, 2025

Are big cities overrated?

Economist•Jan 21, 2025

The cities that will be 'submerged by global warming': Sea levels could rise by up to 6.2 FEET by 2100, warn scientists - so, is your hometown at risk?

Daily Mail•Jan 27, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will any modern artificial island reach a population of 1,000,000 or more inhabitants before 2100?

50%

Will one government govern 80% of Earth's population and economy by 2100?

Will human population size recover to 5 billion by 3000CE if, by 2100, the population falls below 400 million without extinction occurring within 20 years?

65.9%

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