Question

Will there be a city on Earth with a population of over 100 million by 2100?

22 comments22

Total Forecasters213

Community Prediction55%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 55%

median 55.0%mean 53.3%

Authors:

AdamK

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Will any modern artificial island reach a population of 1,000,000 or more inhabitants before 2100?

50%

Will one government govern 80% of Earth's population and economy by 2100?

Will human population size recover to 5 billion by 3000CE if, by 2100, the population falls below 400 million without extinction occurring within 20 years?

65.9%

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Authors:

AdamK

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

New York state’s population could drop by 2 million people come 2050, shocking study finds

New York Post•Nov 14, 2024

‘Obesity is at a crisis point’: Study predicts that 260 million in US will be overweight or obese by 2050

CNN•Nov 15, 2024

What will the cities of the future look like?

Spectator (UK)•Nov 16, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will any modern artificial island reach a population of 1,000,000 or more inhabitants before 2100?

50%

Will one government govern 80% of Earth's population and economy by 2100?

Will human population size recover to 5 billion by 3000CE if, by 2100, the population falls below 400 million without extinction occurring within 20 years?

65.9%