Question

A rigorous GWU study is set to determine precisely how many Puerto Ricans died because of Hurricane Maria: what will that number be?

Resolved :Above upper bound

9 comments9

Total Forecasters36

Community Prediction2k

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

<100

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2k

...

0.1%

85.8%

What was the final result?Above upper bound

Community Baseline Score

2.3

Community Peer Score

0.1

Authors:

AdamK

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Environment & Climate

Puerto Rico

Hurricane Maria

George Washington University

By 2030, will at least 10,000 Americans die in a single year from a single conflict?

15%

Will Puerto Rico become a US state prior to 2035?

35%

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Comments

? comments

Authors:

AdamK

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Environment & Climate

Puerto Rico

Hurricane Maria

George Washington University

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By 2030, will at least 10,000 Americans die in a single year from a single conflict?

15%

Will Puerto Rico become a US state prior to 2035?

35%