Question

Will Sarah Palin be elected as US Representative for Alaska in 2022?

Resolved :No

38 comments38

Total Forecasters117

Community Prediction25%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 25%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

12.2

Community Peer Score

14.7

median 25.0%mean 24.0%

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Elections

US House of Representatives

Alaska

Don Young

Sarah Palin

Republican Party (US)

Will the first female president of the United States enter office as a Republican?

15%

Will Republicans win the most votes in the 2024 elections for the House of Representatives?

99.9%

Will Joe Biden no longer be US President before January 20, 2025?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Elections

US House of Representatives

Alaska

Don Young

Sarah Palin

Republican Party (US)

Who could run to replace Stefanik in the House?

FOX News•Nov 12, 2024

These 14 House seats are still undecided, with 2024 results outstanding a week after Election Day

CBS•Nov 13, 2024

Susan Collins intends to run for reelection in one of GOP’s toughest 2026 Senate races

New York Post•Nov 15, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the first female president of the United States enter office as a Republican?

15%

Will Republicans win the most votes in the 2024 elections for the House of Representatives?

99.9%