Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

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Question

Will humanity (essentially) run out of at least one element currently considered "under serious threat" by 2040?

15
17
Total Forecasters148
Community Prediction36.9% (25% - 47%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 36.9%
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
AdamK
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Economy & Business
Natural Sciences
Chemistry
US Geological Survey
Industrial processes
Tellurium
Germany
University of Augsburg
Copper
American Chemical Society
The Register
Germanium

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