M

Question

Will there be a bilateral ceasefire of at least 30 days in the Tigray war before 2023?

Resolved :Yes95%
Total Forecasters44
Community Prediction95% (81% - 98%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 95%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score
-7.2
Community Peer Score
19.3
Authors:
Opened:May 2, 2022
Closes:Dec 31, 2022
Resolves:Dec 31, 2022

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