Question

What will be the lowest 7-day average number of daily new cases reported in Virginia between April 8th, 2022 and July 1st, 2022?

Resolved :871713

4 comments4

Total Forecasters16

Community Prediction713 (472 - 869)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>5k

...

471.6

713.2

868.9

0.1%

What was the final result?871

Community Baseline Score

89.7

Community Peer Score

67.4

Learn more about scores here.

Authors:

srinivv

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Real-Time Pandemic Decision Making

Real-time Pandemic Decision Making: Round 8

Virginia Department of Health

COVID: Updated CDC Map Reveals Infection Rates Across US

Newsweek•Dec 17, 2024

COVID-19 Rates Are Strangely Low This Holiday Season

Time•Dec 19, 2024

COVID Update: Map Reveals States at Greatest Risk As Christmas Nears

Newsweek•Dec 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

48%

What will be the lowest COVID-19 hospitalization rate from October 5, 2024 to January 4, 2025?

1.57

Real-Time Pandemic Decision Making Tournament Round 8

Comments

? comments

Authors:

srinivv

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Real-Time Pandemic Decision Making

Real-time Pandemic Decision Making: Round 8

Virginia Department of Health

COVID: Updated CDC Map Reveals Infection Rates Across US

Newsweek•Dec 17, 2024

COVID-19 Rates Are Strangely Low This Holiday Season

Time•Dec 19, 2024

COVID Update: Map Reveals States at Greatest Risk As Christmas Nears

Newsweek•Dec 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

48%

What will be the lowest COVID-19 hospitalization rate from October 5, 2024 to January 4, 2025?

1.57

Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

MetaculusM

What will be the lowest 7-day average number of daily new cases reported in Virginia between April 8th, 2022 and July 1st, 2022?

Make a Prediction

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

What will be the lowest COVID-19 hospitalization rate from October 5, 2024 to January 4, 2025?

Real-Time Pandemic Decision Making Tournament Round 8

Comments

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

What will be the lowest COVID-19 hospitalization rate from October 5, 2024 to January 4, 2025?

Real-Time Pandemic Decision Making Tournament Round 8

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

What will be the lowest COVID-19 hospitalization rate from October 5, 2024 to January 4, 2025?

Real-Time Pandemic Decision Making Tournament Round 8

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

What will be the lowest COVID-19 hospitalization rate from October 5, 2024 to January 4, 2025?

Real-Time Pandemic Decision Making Tournament Round 8