Question

How many people will be in space on April 12, 2030?

7 comments7

Total Forecasters22

Community Prediction22.4

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>1k

...

5.7%

12.92

22.43

36.94

0.3%

Authors:

Cato

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

International Day of Human Space Flight

Fédération Aéronautique Internationale

Atmospheric science

Space Shuttle program

Aerospace engineering

Physics

Who Is Sunita Williams and Why Are the Starliner Astronauts Stuck in Space?

Newsweek•Nov 7, 2024

What Trump's second term means for space and why one expert is 'hugely optimistic'

Business Insider•Nov 9, 2024

London to New York in 30 MINUTES: SpaceX's Starship could soon transport passengers on long-distance trips at dizzying speeds of up to 16,700mph - as Elon Musk claims 'this is now possible' following

Daily Mail•Nov 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will be the maximum number of people in space simultaneously for each of the following years?

18.9

Will a Metaculus user report from space before 2050?

49.1%

When will the 1,000th person reach space?

2034-06-24

Comments

? comments