Question

Will Elon Musk acquire over 50% of Twitter by December 31, 2022?

Resolved :Yes99%

277 comments277

Total Forecasters752

Community Prediction99% (99% - 99%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 99%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

-19.9

Community Beer Score

3.1

Authors:

nextbigfuture

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Here’s How Much Elon Musk Companies Grew in Value in 2024

Observer (NY)•Dec 13, 2024

SpaceX valued at $350bn as company agrees to buy shares from employees

Guardian•Dec 13, 2024

Elon Musk says SEC orders him to pay fine over Twitter purchase or face charges

CNN•Dec 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will the market capitalisation of Twitter be on January 1, 2025?

17.5B

Will Elon Musk hold major political office in the United States before February 2033?

Will X declare bankruptcy in 2024?

0.1%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

nextbigfuture

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Here’s How Much Elon Musk Companies Grew in Value in 2024

Observer (NY)•Dec 13, 2024

SpaceX valued at $350bn as company agrees to buy shares from employees

Guardian•Dec 13, 2024

Elon Musk says SEC orders him to pay fine over Twitter purchase or face charges

CNN•Dec 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will the market capitalisation of Twitter be on January 1, 2025?

17.5B

Will Elon Musk hold major political office in the United States before February 2033?

Will X declare bankruptcy in 2024?

0.1%

Take Our 🏆Quarterly Cup🏆 Survey

MetaculusM

Will Elon Musk acquire over 50% of Twitter by December 31, 2022?

Make a Prediction

What will the market capitalisation of Twitter be on January 1, 2025?

Will Elon Musk hold major political office in the United States before February 2033?

Will X declare bankruptcy in 2024?

Comments

What will the market capitalisation of Twitter be on January 1, 2025?

Will Elon Musk hold major political office in the United States before February 2033?

Will X declare bankruptcy in 2024?

What will the market capitalisation of Twitter be on January 1, 2025?

Will Elon Musk hold major political office in the United States before February 2033?

Will X declare bankruptcy in 2024?

What will the market capitalisation of Twitter be on January 1, 2025?

Will Elon Musk hold major political office in the United States before February 2033?

Will X declare bankruptcy in 2024?