Question

Will Omicron XE be the dominant SARS-CoV-2 variant in the US before June 19, 2022?

Resolved :No2%

27 comments27

Total Forecasters57

Community Prediction2% (1% - 10%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 2%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

35.1

Community Peer Score

15.5

Learn more about scores here.

Authors:

private.4920

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Doctors warn of a 'quad-demic' this winter as four viral infections soar and mask mandates creep back in

Daily Mail•Dec 16, 2024

COVID: Updated CDC Map Reveals Infection Rates Across US

Newsweek•Dec 17, 2024

COVID-19 Rates Are Strangely Low This Holiday Season

Time•Dec 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the XEC COVID-19 variant account for at least 50% of the variants monitored in the US before January 5, 2025?

90%

When will a SARS-CoV-2 variant overtake Omicron as the dominant variant globally?

2025-01-01

Forecasting Coronavirus Variant Omicron

Comments

? comments

Authors:

private.4920

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Doctors warn of a 'quad-demic' this winter as four viral infections soar and mask mandates creep back in

Daily Mail•Dec 16, 2024

COVID: Updated CDC Map Reveals Infection Rates Across US

Newsweek•Dec 17, 2024

COVID-19 Rates Are Strangely Low This Holiday Season

Time•Dec 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the XEC COVID-19 variant account for at least 50% of the variants monitored in the US before January 5, 2025?

90%

When will a SARS-CoV-2 variant overtake Omicron as the dominant variant globally?

2025-01-01

Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

MetaculusM

Will Omicron XE be the dominant SARS-CoV-2 variant in the US before June 19, 2022?

Make a Prediction

Will the XEC COVID-19 variant account for at least 50% of the variants monitored in the US before January 5, 2025?

When will a SARS-CoV-2 variant overtake Omicron as the dominant variant globally?

Forecasting Coronavirus Variant Omicron

Comments

Will the XEC COVID-19 variant account for at least 50% of the variants monitored in the US before January 5, 2025?

When will a SARS-CoV-2 variant overtake Omicron as the dominant variant globally?

Forecasting Coronavirus Variant Omicron

Will the XEC COVID-19 variant account for at least 50% of the variants monitored in the US before January 5, 2025?

When will a SARS-CoV-2 variant overtake Omicron as the dominant variant globally?

Forecasting Coronavirus Variant Omicron

Will the XEC COVID-19 variant account for at least 50% of the variants monitored in the US before January 5, 2025?

When will a SARS-CoV-2 variant overtake Omicron as the dominant variant globally?

Forecasting Coronavirus Variant Omicron