Question

Will Pete Buttigieg be the Democratic Party nominee for President of the United States on election day in 2024?

Resolved :No

9 comments9

Total Forecasters61

Community Prediction10%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 10%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

86.0

Community Peer Score

4.0

median 10.0%mean 11.4%

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Elections

Democratic Party (US)

United States

2024 Elections (US)

Pete Buttigieg

Will an openly LGBTQ person be elected President of the United States by 2041?

17.7%

If Joe Biden is re-elected as US President in 2024, will he still be US President as of December 31, 2025?

75%

Will Sam Altman run for President of the United States before 2040?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Elections

Democratic Party (US)

United States

2024 Elections (US)

Pete Buttigieg

Democrats want to tear up 2028 primaries schedule after crushing 2024 defeats

Independent•Nov 16, 2024

Democratic jockeying for the 2028 presidential election is already underway

NBC•Nov 16, 2024

Nolte: Kamala Harris Way In Front of 2028 Democrat Presidential Contenders

Breitbart•Nov 20, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will an openly LGBTQ person be elected President of the United States by 2041?

17.7%

If Joe Biden is re-elected as US President in 2024, will he still be US President as of December 31, 2025?

75%