Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will Obergefell v. Hodges be overturned by the US Supreme Court before 2030?

23
42
Total Forecasters198
Community Prediction8% (5% - 14%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 8%
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Jgalt
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Law
Politics
Obergefell v. Hodges
Supreme Court of the US
Due Process Clause
Equal Protection Clause
Washington, D.C.
Lawrence v. Texas
Fourteenth Amendment to the US Constitution
Roe v. Wade

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