Question

Will Boris Johnson fail to be elected in the next UK General Election?

Resolved :Annulled70%

34 comments34

Total Forecasters121

Community Prediction70% (43% - 92%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 70%

Did this actually happen?Annulled

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Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Elections

2021-2025 Leaderboard

UK general election

Uxbridge and South Ruislip (UK Parliament constituency)

Conservative Party (UK)

Boris Johnson

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Will Boris Johnson return as the leader of the UK Conservative Party before 2026?

Will Nigel Farage become Prime Minister of the United Kingdom before January 1, 2035?

Will Kwasi Kwarteng become UK Conservative Party Leader before 2030?

0.8%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Elections

2021-2025 Leaderboard

UK general election

Uxbridge and South Ruislip (UK Parliament constituency)

Conservative Party (UK)

Boris Johnson

Canada's Justin Trudeau Might Be on His Way Out Before the Federal Elections

Townhall•Dec 17, 2024

Starmer Suffers Worst Approval of Any New PM in Half Century: Poll

Breitbart•Dec 18, 2024

Canadian prime minister faces growing pressure from his own party to resign

PBS NewsHour•Dec 18, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Boris Johnson return as the leader of the UK Conservative Party before 2026?

Will Nigel Farage become Prime Minister of the United Kingdom before January 1, 2035?

Will Kwasi Kwarteng become UK Conservative Party Leader before 2030?

0.8%

Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

MetaculusM

Will Boris Johnson fail to be elected in the next UK General Election?

Make a Prediction

Will Boris Johnson return as the leader of the UK Conservative Party before 2026?

Will Nigel Farage become Prime Minister of the United Kingdom before January 1, 2035?

Will Kwasi Kwarteng become UK Conservative Party Leader before 2030?

Comments

Will Boris Johnson return as the leader of the UK Conservative Party before 2026?

Will Nigel Farage become Prime Minister of the United Kingdom before January 1, 2035?

Will Kwasi Kwarteng become UK Conservative Party Leader before 2030?

Will Boris Johnson return as the leader of the UK Conservative Party before 2026?

Will Nigel Farage become Prime Minister of the United Kingdom before January 1, 2035?

Will Kwasi Kwarteng become UK Conservative Party Leader before 2030?

Will Boris Johnson return as the leader of the UK Conservative Party before 2026?

Will Nigel Farage become Prime Minister of the United Kingdom before January 1, 2035?

Will Kwasi Kwarteng become UK Conservative Party Leader before 2030?