🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

Of the top 10 AI companies, how many will pledge not to develop lethal autonomous weapons?

Resolved :26.23
8
7
Total Forecasters96
Community Prediction6.23 (4.55 - 7.69)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
...
...
...
4.554
6.226
7.689

What was the final result?2

Community Baseline Score
-11.0
Community Peer Score
61.3
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Anthony
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Business of AI
AI Safety
Geopolitics
Artificial Intelligence
Technology
2018 Leaderboard
Amazon (company)
Google
Baidu
Lethal autonomous weapon
Military science
Robotics
Microsoft Research
Facebook
Nvidia

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