Question

Will the advanced LIGO team announce the discovery of gravitational waves by end of March?

Resolved :Yes75%

16 comments16

Total Forecasters70

Community Prediction75% (63% - 99%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 75%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

23.7

Community Peer Score

37.1

Learn more about scores here.

Authors:

Anthony

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

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Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will gravitational waves from the merger of supermassive black holes be detected by November 30, 2027?

68.5%

Will a space-based interferometer detect a gravitational wave background attributable to cosmological sources?

53%

Will a third LIGO detector be built in India before 2028?

30.1%

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