Question

Will China's CO2 emissions peak before 2030?

4 comments4

Total Forecasters49

Community Prediction76% (56% - 90%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 76%

Authors:

casens

Opened:

Apr 21, 2022

Closes:

Dec 31, 2029

Scheduled resolution:

Mar 1, 2042

Autocrat Public Figures Series

Environment & Climate

Carbon dioxide in Earth's atmosphere

Chemistry

Greenhouse gas emissions by the US

China

Atmospheric science

Environmental science

Carbon dioxide equivalent

Global Carbon Project

Climate change denial

United Nations Climate Change conference

New coal power plant projects in China hit the highest level in nearly 10 years, report says

Associated Press•Feb 13, 2025

China’s coal power habit undercuts ‘unprecedented pace’ of clean energy

Guardian•Feb 13, 2025

Make China Pay Its Fair Share to Mitigate Climate Change | Opinion

Newsweek•Feb 16, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will China reach net zero carbon emissions?

2060-01-21

Will China reduce their carbon emissions per GDP by 60% by 2030?

69%

China CO2 Emissions Reduction by 60% by 2030 → First Year of Global Temperature Above 2˚C?

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