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How much military equipment losses will Oryx report each month for Russia in 2022?

35 comments35

106 forecasters

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Forecast Timeline

May 29, 2022

Aug 21, 2022

Jul 24, 2022

May 1, 2022

Jun 26, 2022

Authors:

daniel-hnyk

Opened:

Apr 19, 2022

Closes:

Aug 21, 2022

Resolves:

Aug 22, 2022

New report says Russia is better able to withstand heavy battlefield losses than Ukraine

Associated Press•Feb 13, 2025

Russia Could Run Out of Tanks by 2026: Report

Newsweek•Feb 13, 2025

Russian Advances in Ukraine Slowing Down Despite Rise in Casualties: ISW

Newsweek•Feb 15, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will 1 million Russian personnel losses be reported before 2026?

70%

Ukraine Conflict Update for 2022-4-5

Ukraine Conflict Update for Friday, 2022-03-18

Comments

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Authors:

daniel-hnyk

Opened:

Apr 19, 2022

Closes:

Aug 21, 2022

Resolves:

Aug 22, 2022

New report says Russia is better able to withstand heavy battlefield losses than Ukraine

Associated Press•Feb 13, 2025

Russia Could Run Out of Tanks by 2026: Report

Newsweek•Feb 13, 2025

Russian Advances in Ukraine Slowing Down Despite Rise in Casualties: ISW

Newsweek•Feb 15, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will 1 million Russian personnel losses be reported before 2026?

70%