Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Group

How much military equipment losses will Oryx report each month for Russia in 2022?

17
35
106 forecasters

Make a Prediction

Period Endingresolution
community
<0
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>2k
0.5%
413.8
444.3
480.8
0.1%

What was the final result?427

Community Baseline Score
58.0
Community Peer Score
14.2
Learn more about scores here.

Forecast Timeline

Total Forecasters 82
Authors:
daniel-hnyk
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Ukraine Conflict
Geopolitics
2022 Leaderboard
Russo-Ukrainian War
Oryx
Russian Armed Forces
Ukraine
Russia

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