Question

Will Ukraine have a security guarantee from another country before 2024?

Resolved :No

23 comments23

Total Forecasters397

Community Prediction0.1%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 0.1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

84.9

Community Peer Score

19.4

median 0.1%mean 1.5%

Authors:

casens

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Center for Strategic and International Studies

NATO

Boris Johnson

United Nations Security Council

Germany

Budapest Memorandum on Security Assurances

Ukraine–NATO relations

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Will Ukraine join NATO before 2035?

24%

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