Question

Will Ukraine have de facto control of Sevastopol on January 1, 2024?

Resolved :No0.1%

101 comments101

Total Forecasters658

Community Prediction0.1% (0.1% - 1%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 0.1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

90.7

Community Peer Score

13.9

Authors:

casens

Opened:

Apr 20, 2022

Closes:

Dec 30, 2023

Resolves:

Dec 31, 2023

Ukraine Conflict

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Geopolitics

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