Question

What will be the average unemployment in the US from January 2022 to December 2024?

15 comments15

Total Forecasters40

Community Prediction3.79 (3.59 - 4.04)

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My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>15

...

3.586

3.788

4.039

0.1%

Authors:

fldnflncs

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Economy & Business

2021-2025 Leaderboard

United States

Bureau of Labor Statistics

Inflation May Prove Stickier, Making Deeper 2025 Rate Cuts Less Likely

Forbes•Dec 13, 2024

Inflation in the U.S. remains stuck, and Trump's economic plans are only adding to the uncertainty

NBC•Dec 13, 2024

Famed economist Nouriel Roubini warns another inflation flare-up is on the way — threatening to sink the stock market and send 10-year Treasury yields to 8%

Business Insider•Dec 14, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will be the average inflation in the US from January 2022 to December 2024?

4.1

Will the US unemployment rate exceed 5% before 2025?

0.1%

Will "stagflation" occur in the United States before 2026, as measured by the "misery index" reaching 10 or more for at least three consecutive months?

16.1%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

fldnflncs

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Economy & Business

2021-2025 Leaderboard

United States

Bureau of Labor Statistics

Inflation May Prove Stickier, Making Deeper 2025 Rate Cuts Less Likely

Forbes•Dec 13, 2024

Inflation in the U.S. remains stuck, and Trump's economic plans are only adding to the uncertainty

NBC•Dec 13, 2024

Famed economist Nouriel Roubini warns another inflation flare-up is on the way — threatening to sink the stock market and send 10-year Treasury yields to 8%

Business Insider•Dec 14, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will be the average inflation in the US from January 2022 to December 2024?

4.1

Will the US unemployment rate exceed 5% before 2025?

0.1%

Will "stagflation" occur in the United States before 2026, as measured by the "misery index" reaching 10 or more for at least three consecutive months?

16.1%

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What will be the average unemployment in the US from January 2022 to December 2024?

Make a Prediction

What will be the average inflation in the US from January 2022 to December 2024?

Will the US unemployment rate exceed 5% before 2025?

Will "stagflation" occur in the United States before 2026, as measured by the "misery index" reaching 10 or more for at least three consecutive months?

Comments

What will be the average inflation in the US from January 2022 to December 2024?

Will the US unemployment rate exceed 5% before 2025?

Will "stagflation" occur in the United States before 2026, as measured by the "misery index" reaching 10 or more for at least three consecutive months?

What will be the average inflation in the US from January 2022 to December 2024?

Will the US unemployment rate exceed 5% before 2025?

Will "stagflation" occur in the United States before 2026, as measured by the "misery index" reaching 10 or more for at least three consecutive months?

What will be the average inflation in the US from January 2022 to December 2024?

Will the US unemployment rate exceed 5% before 2025?

Will "stagflation" occur in the United States before 2026, as measured by the "misery index" reaching 10 or more for at least three consecutive months?