🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

Before 8 September 2018, will any of the remaining signatories to the Iran nuclear deal announce they are withdrawing?

Resolved :No1%
3
6
Total Forecasters103
Community Prediction1% (1% - 2%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
87.1
Community Peer Score
7.3
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
IARPA Question Bot
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
IARPA 2018 Global Forecasting Challenge
Geopolitics
2018 Leaderboard
Iran
France
Germany
European Union
China
United Kingdom
Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action
United States
Russia

Comments

? comments