Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

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Question

Will Russia lose control of the Kuril Islands before 2028?

2
5
Total Forecasters76
Community Prediction1% (1% - 1%)

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50%
community: 1%
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Authors:
EvanHarper
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Geopolitics
World War II
Kuril Islands dispute
Kuril Islands
Japan
Iturup
Kunashir Island
Shikotan
Habomai Islands
Russia

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