Question

Will pediatric cases of hepatitis with unknown origin be conclusively linked to adenovirus infection?

Resolved :Yes

8 comments8

Total Forecasters48

Community Prediction55%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 55%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

39.7

Community Peer Score

23.4

median 55.0%mean 54.8%

Authors:

juancambeiro

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

World Health Organization

Centers for Disease Control and Prevention

Infectious disease

Adenovirus infection

European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control

United States

Medicine

What type of pathogen will cause the next pandemic?

When will the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people occur for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2024-2025 season?

Before January 1, 2025, will at least two public health agencies claim that COVID-19 more likely than not originated in a laboratory?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

juancambeiro

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

World Health Organization

Centers for Disease Control and Prevention

Infectious disease

Adenovirus infection

European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control

United States

Medicine

Bird Flu Outbreak: Do Human Cases Mean Future Lockdowns?

Newsweek•Nov 15, 2024

Cases of highly infectious and preventable measles surged across the globe by 20 percent last year

Independent•Nov 16, 2024

European Country Detects Polio in Sewage, Urges Vaccinations for Children

Newsweek•Nov 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch