Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will David Segal win the RI-2 Democratic primary?

Resolved :No12%
4
24
Total Forecasters45
Community Prediction12% (7% - 18%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 12%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
18.8
Community Peer Score
0.9
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
CullenOKeefe
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Elections
2022 Leaderboard
Rhode Island's 2nd congressional district
2016 Rhode Island Democratic presidential primary
David Segal (politician)
Rhode Island
Secretary of State of Rhode Island

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