🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

Will pediatric cases of hepatitis with unknown origin be conclusively linked to COVID vaccination?

Resolved :No1%
4
8
Total Forecasters85
Community Prediction1% (0.5% - 1%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
96.0
Community Peer Score
13.5
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
juancambeiro
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Health & Pandemics
2022-2023 Leaderboard
Virology
Hepatology
United Kingdom
Public health
World Health Organization
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention
Infectious disease
Adenovirus infection
European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control

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