Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

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Forecast and Share Your Reasoning With GiveWell by January 1st — $3,500 in prizes

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Question

Will Ukraine join the Union State before 2040?

10
18
Total Forecasters140
Community Prediction4% (1% - 10%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 4%
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
casens
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Autocrat Public Figures Series
Geopolitics
Russo-Ukrainian War
Union State
Volodymyr Zelensky
Alexander Lukashenko
Belarus–Russia relations
Ukraine
Russia

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