Question

Will Russia's total territory decrease by at least 20% before 2028?

23 comments23

Total Forecasters165

Community Prediction1%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

median 1.0%mean 4.6%

Authors:

casens

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Russia's economy is heading toward a fate worse than recession, pro-Kremlin economists say

Business Insider•Nov 14, 2024

3 reasons why Russia's economy can survive without crisis for up to 5 more years, think-tank economists say

Business Insider•Nov 16, 2024

Ukraine latest: Bad news mounts for Ukraine across the frontlines. But Russia is under pressure too

CNN•Nov 16, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Russian territory be reduced by at least 1% before 2040?

32%

Will one or more recognized Federal Subjects of the Russian Federation break away before 2025?

0.1%

Will Russia lose control of the Kuril Islands before 2028?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

casens

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Russia's economy is heading toward a fate worse than recession, pro-Kremlin economists say

Business Insider•Nov 14, 2024

3 reasons why Russia's economy can survive without crisis for up to 5 more years, think-tank economists say

Business Insider•Nov 16, 2024

Ukraine latest: Bad news mounts for Ukraine across the frontlines. But Russia is under pressure too

CNN•Nov 16, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Russian territory be reduced by at least 1% before 2040?

32%

Will one or more recognized Federal Subjects of the Russian Federation break away before 2025?

0.1%