Question

Will Russia's total territory decrease by at least 20% before 2028?

23 comments23

Total Forecasters164

Community Prediction1% (1% - 3%)

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50%

community: 1%

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casens

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Scheduled resolution:

Russia's Entire North Korean Force May Be Wiped Out by April: ISW

Newsweek•Jan 17, 2025

Skeptical of Russia's data, some Western officials judge its economy by looking at Moscow from space

Business Insider•Jan 22, 2025

Vladimir Putin’s wobbly empire gives US a path to stifle Russia’s threats

New York Post•Jan 23, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Russian territory be reduced by at least 1% before 2040?

33%

Will Russia lose control of the Kuril Islands before 2028?

Will China attempt to seize any region of Russia before 2046?

12.5%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

casens

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Russia's Entire North Korean Force May Be Wiped Out by April: ISW

Newsweek•Jan 17, 2025

Skeptical of Russia's data, some Western officials judge its economy by looking at Moscow from space

Business Insider•Jan 22, 2025

Vladimir Putin’s wobbly empire gives US a path to stifle Russia’s threats

New York Post•Jan 23, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Russian territory be reduced by at least 1% before 2040?

33%

Will Russia lose control of the Kuril Islands before 2028?

Will China attempt to seize any region of Russia before 2046?

12.5%