Question

What will be the 7-day moving average of daily new reported cases in Virginia on May 13, 2022?

Resolved :2.53k2.4k

10 comments10

Total Forecasters18

Community Prediction2.4k (1.79k - 3.05k)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>15k

...

1.793k

2.403k

3.045k

0.1%

What was the final result?2.53k

Community Baseline Score

82.4

Community Peer Score

13.5

Learn more about scores here.

Authors:

srinivv

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Real-Time Pandemic Decision Making

Real-time Pandemic Decision Making: Round 9

Health & Pandemics

2022 Leaderboard

Virginia

Virginia Department of Health

COVID: Updated CDC Map Reveals Infection Rates Across US

Newsweek•Dec 17, 2024

COVID-19 Rates Are Strangely Low This Holiday Season

Time•Dec 19, 2024

COVID Update: Map Reveals States at Greatest Risk As Christmas Nears

Newsweek•Dec 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

48%

Real-Time Pandemic Decision Making Tournament Round 8

How many people will be reported to have died per year of COVID-19 on average during the years 2022-2025 in the United States?

121k

Comments

? comments

Authors:

srinivv

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Real-Time Pandemic Decision Making

Real-time Pandemic Decision Making: Round 9

Health & Pandemics

2022 Leaderboard

Virginia

Virginia Department of Health

COVID: Updated CDC Map Reveals Infection Rates Across US

Newsweek•Dec 17, 2024

COVID-19 Rates Are Strangely Low This Holiday Season

Time•Dec 19, 2024

COVID Update: Map Reveals States at Greatest Risk As Christmas Nears

Newsweek•Dec 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

48%

Real-Time Pandemic Decision Making Tournament Round 8

How many people will be reported to have died per year of COVID-19 on average during the years 2022-2025 in the United States?

121k

Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

MetaculusM

What will be the 7-day moving average of daily new reported cases in Virginia on May 13, 2022?

Make a Prediction

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

Real-Time Pandemic Decision Making Tournament Round 8

How many people will be reported to have died per year of COVID-19 on average during the years 2022-2025 in the United States?

Comments

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

Real-Time Pandemic Decision Making Tournament Round 8

How many people will be reported to have died per year of COVID-19 on average during the years 2022-2025 in the United States?

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

Real-Time Pandemic Decision Making Tournament Round 8

How many people will be reported to have died per year of COVID-19 on average during the years 2022-2025 in the United States?

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

Real-Time Pandemic Decision Making Tournament Round 8

How many people will be reported to have died per year of COVID-19 on average during the years 2022-2025 in the United States?