Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

What will be the 7-day moving average of daily new reported cases in Virginia on May 27, 2022?

Resolved :3.22k4.38k
Total Forecasters19
Community Prediction4.38k (3.63k - 5.12k)

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My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>15k
...
...
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...
3.629k
4.376k
5.116k
0.2%

What was the final result?3.22k

Community Baseline Score
50.7
Community Peer Score
9.7
Learn more about scores here.
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