Question

What will be the highest 7-day average number of daily new cases reported in Virginia between April 29, 2022 and July 22, 2022?

Resolved :3.31k6.38k

4 comments4

Total Forecasters17

Community Prediction6.38k (4.83k - 8.1k)

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My Prediction

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lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>25k

...

4.83k

6.384k

8.105k

0.3%

What was the final result?3.31k

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48.9

Community Peer Score

30.0

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Authors:

srinivv

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Real-Time Pandemic Decision Making

Real-time Pandemic Decision Making: Round 9

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Virginia

Virginia Department of Health

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Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

48%

Real-Time Pandemic Decision Making Tournament Round 8

Will a new SARS-CoV-2 variant classified as a VOC or worse result in at least 20,000 daily incident COVID hospitalizations in the US before July 1, 2025?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

srinivv

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Real-Time Pandemic Decision Making

Real-time Pandemic Decision Making: Round 9

Health & Pandemics

2022 Leaderboard

Virginia

Virginia Department of Health

COVID-19 Rates Are Strangely Low This Holiday Season

Time•Dec 19, 2024

COVID Update: Map Reveals States at Greatest Risk As Christmas Nears

Newsweek•Dec 19, 2024

Memphis vs. Virginia prediction, odds: 2024 college basketball picks, December 18 best bets by proven model

CBS•Dec 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

48%

Real-Time Pandemic Decision Making Tournament Round 8

Will a new SARS-CoV-2 variant classified as a VOC or worse result in at least 20,000 daily incident COVID hospitalizations in the US before July 1, 2025?

Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

MetaculusM

What will be the highest 7-day average number of daily new cases reported in Virginia between April 29, 2022 and July 22, 2022?

Make a Prediction

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

Real-Time Pandemic Decision Making Tournament Round 8

Will a new SARS-CoV-2 variant classified as a VOC or worse result in at least 20,000 daily incident COVID hospitalizations in the US before July 1, 2025?

Comments

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

Real-Time Pandemic Decision Making Tournament Round 8

Will a new SARS-CoV-2 variant classified as a VOC or worse result in at least 20,000 daily incident COVID hospitalizations in the US before July 1, 2025?

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

Real-Time Pandemic Decision Making Tournament Round 8

Will a new SARS-CoV-2 variant classified as a VOC or worse result in at least 20,000 daily incident COVID hospitalizations in the US before July 1, 2025?

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

Real-Time Pandemic Decision Making Tournament Round 8

Will a new SARS-CoV-2 variant classified as a VOC or worse result in at least 20,000 daily incident COVID hospitalizations in the US before July 1, 2025?