Question

Will the 7-day moving average of current confirmed COVID-19 hospitalizations in Virginia cross 500 before June 10, 2022?

Resolved :Yes91%

6 comments6

Total Forecasters18

Community Prediction91% (85% - 95%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 91%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

16.6

Community Peer Score

11.5

Authors:

srinivv

Opened:

Apr 29, 2022

Closes:

May 20, 2022

Resolves:

Jun 4, 2022

Real-Time Pandemic Decision Making

Real-time Pandemic Decision Making: Round 9

New norovirus alert as officials warn of 'potential second wave' with cases of vomiting bug up 25% in a month

Daily Mail•Feb 28, 2025

As flu cases break records this year, vaccine rates are declining, particularly for children and 65+ adults

The Conversation•Feb 28, 2025

US flu season may have reached its peak, CDC says

CNN•Mar 1, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

45.6%

Will a new SARS-CoV-2 variant classified as a VOC or worse result in at least 20,000 daily incident COVID hospitalizations in the US before July 1, 2025?

Real-Time Pandemic Decision Making Tournament Round 8

Comments

? comments