Question
What percentage of participants who adhere to the diet in the SMTM potato study and start with a BMI > 30 will lose 20 lbs or more over 4 weeks?
Resolved :11.116.8Total Forecasters9
Community Prediction16.8 (3.64 - 44.6)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 3.643 | — |
| median | 16.84 | — |
| upper 75% | 44.58 | — |
What was the final result?11.1
Community Baseline Score
35.0
Community Peer Score
9.2
Authors:
Opened:Jun 13, 2022
Closes:Jul 11, 2022
Resolves:Jul 12, 2022
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:Jun 13, 2022
Closes:Jul 11, 2022
Resolves:Jul 12, 2022
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch